Across Ukraine, a similar situation can be found along the entire contact line, from North to East to South. With a few notable exceptions, the Russians are simply holding firm and are not engaging in ‘big arrow’ offensives; sweeping advances by large formations intent upon capturing swathes of territorial or geographical real-estate. In the bulk…
Ukraine – April 2023
I have written a couple of general overviews of the Russo-Ukraine conflict (March 2022 and December 2022) in which, I believe, the included assessments and predictions have – so far – proven accurate. It’s now April 2023 and as I believe this conflict is nearing the ‘end-game,’ it’s time to bring my thinking up-to-date. As…
Causality and Consequence
With regards to the current conflict in Ukraine, I have been musing over the ‘terrorist sabotage’ attack on the Nord Stream gas pipelines on September 26th 2022 that sabotaged three of the four Nord Stream 1 and Nord Stream 2 pipelines. Why did it happen and how? Nord Stream Background The company behind Nord Stream…
Simple.
According to western governments and media, and consequent popular public opinion, Russia invaded Ukraine, a democratic, freedom-loving, innocent and harmless sovereign nation in February 2022, with no provocation. Why would Russia do such a thing? Well, to fulfil Putin’s imperial aspirations to rule and conquer Ukraine. As a first step to invade and dominate the…
Steve the Narrative Meister
Steve Rosenberg, State Propagandist-in-Chief for the BBC in Russia, posted this… Here’s Steve. Note he has three phones. Oh sorry, four. Uber-connected professional. Steve’s piece is a shining example of propaganda narrative at work, wherein Steve interviews local Russian residents of Belgorod and then blatantly inserts words they never spoke; Steve’s words. Steve hears the…
Silent BBC Edit
On 3rd December, Matt Murphy (Senior Journalist – BBCNews and BBCWorld) wrote a piece that appeared on the BBC website regarding a ‘new’ building in Mariupol. Here’s the original piece (you can find it on the Internet Archive). The ‘Russian Army Base’ Matt is referring to is actually a 60-bed civilian hospital completed by the…
A Glaring Media Blindspot
On Monday 5th December, Ukraine launched a pair of adapted Soviet-era Tu-141 Strizh Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAV) at two airbases within Russia. One struck Dyagilevo Air Force Base in Ryazan Oblast, a training center for Russia’s strategic bomber force. Another struck Engels Air Force Base (Engels-2), a strategic nuclear bomber military airbase in Russia located…
Revisiting Military Predictions
In this post from March 4th 2022, I made a number of predictions regarding the military situation in Ukraine and how it might develop over the course of the conflict. Given recent (credible) reports (from a variety of sources) that estimate Ukrainian losses of 100,000 killed and 400,000 wounded, I thought I would revisit and…
Schama and Murray
Oh Simon. Oh Douglas. It’s been a week of disappointment. Douglas Murray penned a fluff piece on behalf of warmongers and death-dealers. Wish I hadn’t read that. And Simon Schama releases the ‘History of Now‘ – a new BBC series, which covertly and overtly supports the very same warmongers and death-dealers while purporting to show…
Ukraine ~ Discerning a Measure of Truth
What is propaganda? What is mis-information (or disinformation)? What is a narrative? What is perspective? What is context? What is a fact? What is truth? There are also some hints as to whether a particular narrative (for example) is most likely propaganda; where it contains… I believe that factual truth is the most effective antidote…